排序方式： 共有110条查询结果，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
The southwestern coast of the Caspian Sea often experiences heavy snowfall during winter season due to the lake effect. The accurate estimation of snowfall in this region is still a challenge for weather forecasters. This study attempts to investigate the simulation of lake-effect snow (LES) event occurring along the southwest coastline of the Caspian Sea from 31 January to 4 February 2014 using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The study evaluates the sensitivity of four microphysics (WSM6, Goddard, Morrison, and Thompson) schemes and two planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes (the Yonsei University (YSU) and the Mellor-Yamada-Janjic (MYJ)), yielding eight distinct combinations. The results indicated that all the simulations overestimated the precipitation. However, the best configurations for estimation of precipitation and snow in terms of their spatiotemporal variation were the Morrison-MYJ and the Goddard-MYJ, respectively. Analyses of the vertical profiles of hydrometeor species showed that the combination of Goddard and MYJ schemes created more snow and graupel than the other configurations. Although the combination of WSM-MYJ schemes revealed the least bias, it was not appropriate for the prediction of snow. A comparison of the two boundary layer schemes showed that the MYJ scheme simulated better intensity and distribution of precipitation than the YSU scheme compared to observations. Also, the maximum radar reflectivity of the model output was useful for identifying the location of maximum precipitation. 相似文献
2.
Variability of the Kuroshio path to the south of Japan plays a central role in the local climate change and exerts tremendous influences on the local atmosphere and ocean. In this study, the response of ocean dynamics, in terms of the eddy kinetic energy (EKE), potential vorticity (PV), relative vorticity, and eddy-mean flow interaction, to the Kuroshio path change is discussed. Kuroshio path south of Japan includes the near-shore non-large meander (nNLM), the off-shore non-large meander (oNLM), and the typical large meander (tLM). Analyses reveal that the distribution of EKE, PV, relative vorticity, and energy exchange between the eddy field and the mean flow respectively varies with the Kuroshio path: (1) The tLM has the maximum EKE along the path; (2) The positive and negative PV are located at the onshore and offshore side of Kuroshio axis, respevetively; (3) The distributions of anomalous relative voritcity of nNLM, oNLM, and tLM are consistent with sea surface height anomalies (SSHAs); (4) The tLM has the largest energy exchange between the eddy field and the mean flow in terms of the rate of barotropic energy conversion. On the other hand, the stability analysis of ocean currents suggests that the three Kuroshio paths south of Japan have their own intrinsic properties of the instability. 相似文献
3.
通过2018年1月多全球卫星导航系统（GNSS）实验(MGEX)的十个测站数据,采用无电离层模型和非差非组合模型,对单系统、双系统和四系统精密单点定位（PPP）进行定位性能分析,定位性能包括收敛时间和定位精度. 实验结果表明,两种PPP模型定位性能相当,但优于单频PPP,在E、N和U方向收敛时间缩短20 min左右,定位精度提高1.6 cm左右;联合多系统能够增加卫星数,改善卫星间几何构型,提升PPP的定位性能. 对GLONASS伪距频间偏差（IFB）采用估计每颗GLONASS卫星的伪距IFB模型和伪距IFB为频率二次多项式模型提升PPP的定位性能,结果表明估计每颗GLONASS卫星的伪距IFB模型要优于伪距IFB为频率二次多项式模型,估计伪距IFB相比忽略伪距IFB在PPP定位性能上有不同程度的提升. 相似文献
4.
城市下垫面非均匀性度量研究对于改进中尺度数值模式、提高城市气象预报准确率具有重要意义.基于分形布朗运动理论和Landsat-TM卫星遥感图像,估算了2011年北京典型下垫面类型个例和整个空间区域的分数维,由此来度量北京城市下垫面的非均匀性特征.研究结果显示:分数维能有效度量北京城市下垫面的非均匀程度,典型下垫面类型的分数维高低顺序为商业区 >大型居民区 >城市绿地 >农田>林地 >水体;北京六环内区域及郊区城镇地表非均匀特征明显,分数维一般在2.50以上,北京城市中心(二环内)存在一个分数维相对低值区,二环—四环之间区域分数维普遍较高,在2.70以上,五环以外分数维则不断降低,反映出北京城市下垫面非均匀性从中心向外呈低—高—低的空间分布;下垫面类型中建筑用地、绿地、未利用地、农田、林地和水体的平均分数维分别为2.71、2.62、2.55、2.38、2.30和2.28,分数维值的高低反映了城市下垫面类型的非均匀程度大小,对定量描述城市边界层参数的复杂特征具有参考意义. 相似文献
5.
Shouting Gao Zhemin Tan Sixiong Zhao Zhexian Luo Hancheng Lu Donghai Wang Chunguang Cui Xiaopeng Cui Jianhua Sun 《大气科学进展》2015,32(2):192-205
Progress over the past decade in understanding moisture-driven dynamics and torrential rain storms in China is reviewed in this paper. First, advances in incorporating moisture effects more realistically into theory are described, including the development of a new parameter, generalized moist potential vorticity(GMPV) and an improved moist ageostrophic Q vector(Qum). Advances in vorticity dynamics are also described, including the adoption of a "parcel dynamic" approach to investigate the development of the vertical vorticity of an air parcel; a novel theory of slantwise vorticity development, proposed because vorticity develops easily near steep isentropic surfaces; and the development of the convective vorticity vector(CVV)as an effective new tool. The significant progress in both frontal dynamics and wave dynamics is also summarized, including the geostrophic adjustment of initial unbalanced flow and the dual role of boundary layer friction in frontogenesis, as well as the interaction between topography and fronts, which indicate that topographic perturbations alter both frontogenesis and frontal structure. For atmospheric vortices, mixed wave/vortex dynamics has been extended to explain the propagation of spiral rainbands and the development of dynamical instability in tropical cyclones. Finally, we review wave and basic flow interaction in torrential rainfall, for which it was necessary to extend existing theory from large-scale flows to mesoscale fields, enriching our knowledge of mesoscale atmospheric dynamics. 相似文献
6.
Urbanization alters spatiotemporal patterns of ecosystem primary production: A case study of the Phoenix metropolitan region,USA 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Previous studies have found that urbanization often decreases net primary production (NPP), an important integrative measure of ecosystem functioning. In arid environments, however, urbanization may boost productivity by introducing highly productive plant communities and weakening the coupling of plant growth to naturally occurring cycles of water and nutrients. We tested these ideas by comparing NPP estimated for natural and anthropogenic land covers in the Phoenix metropolitan region of USA using MODIS NDVI data and a simplified parametric NPP model. Most anthropogenic land covers exhibited higher production than the natural desert. Consequently, the combined urban and agricultural areas contributed more to the regional primary production than the natural desert did in normal and dry years, whereas this pattern was reversed in wet years. Primary production of this urban landscape was only weakly correlated with rainfall, but strongly with socio-economic variables. Our productivity estimates agreed well with NPP predicted by a process-based ecosystem model for the area. Significant uncertainties, however, remain due to extremely high heterogeneity of urban vegetation. Nevertheless, our results clearly show that urbanization may not only increase regional NPP and disrupt the coupling between vegetation and precipitation, but also increase spatial heterogeneity of NPP in this arid region. 相似文献
7.
气象灾害风险评价涉及多源、多维、多尺度空间数据与社会经济统计数据,对应用GIS结合MCE技术进行农业气象灾害风险评价进行了研究。利用特尔菲专家测定法建立评价准则,利用空间划分技术建立评价单元,利用属性值空间化技术实现对气象灾害影响因素空间分布特征进行描述,以空间叠置计算获得多准则条件下空间单元决策目标分值,从而实现区域气象灾害风险区划。研究表明,GIS结合MCE技术能够较好地整合与气象灾害风险评价相关的各类空间数据和社会统计数据,实现气象灾害风险的定量化评价。以冰雪灾害致灾因子评价为例,证明以上技术方法具有可行性。 相似文献
8.
中国比辐射率空间分布特征分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
使用2003-2013年MOD/MYD11C3地表比辐射率光谱数据、MOD/MYD13C2植被指数光谱数据,合成全国各月地表比辐射率、NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index)。基于DEM数据分析比辐射率与NDVI随海拔、坡向的变化规律。结果表明:(1)比辐射率低值段(0.960~0.970)主要分布在我国西北荒漠地区,面积比例全年变化不显著,代表了干燥裸土下低比辐射率的特征;中值段(0.970~0.975)分布于我国大部分植被覆盖地区,面积比例夏高冬低,代表植被覆盖下混合像元的中比辐射率特征;高值段(0.975~0.980)位于我国部分高海拔和高纬度地区,面积比例冬高夏低,代表冰雪与植被混合像元的高比辐射率特征。(2)比辐射率与NDVI随坡向变化呈明显的"双峰双谷"分布。东南坡、西坡为峰值,最大值位于东南坡;南坡、北坡为谷值,最小值位于北坡。两者变化一致性很高。受不同坡向太阳方位角下的地形敏感性与植被覆盖综合影响,比辐射率表现出随坡向的峰谷变化规律。(3)随海拔升高,比辐射率呈垂直地带性变化。存在3个下降区:250 m~1250 m、2500 m~3000 m和4750 m~6000 m;3个上升区:1250 m~2500 m、3000 m~4750 m和6000 m~6500 m。这与NDVI随海拔变化特征类似,反映垂直下垫面植被变化对比辐射率空间分布的影响。 相似文献
9.
三江平原不同流域水土流失变化特征分析 总被引：7，自引：2，他引：5
运用地理信息系统(GIS)结合美国通用水土流失方程(USLE),根据研究区现状合理选择USLE中水土流失各因子的计算方法,求算出三江平原1954年、1976年、1986年以及2000年的水土流失状况图。通过与2000年遥感普查结果进行对比,验证了方法的有效性。分别对三江平原六个流域水土流失变化情况进行分析,认为土地利用方式对水土流失有重要影响,农田开发是造成水土流失面积增加、强度增强的主要原因。土地垦荒活动强度降低以及部分旱地改种水田后,水土流失面积增加的幅度明显下降。 相似文献
10.
It is of great significance to analyze the long time-series spatiotemporal dynamics of water use efficiency (WUE) to formulating appropriate management measures in response to the growing water scarcity in arid and semi-arid regions. This study analyzed the long time-series variations of WUE in the Lower Heihe River Basin, a typical arid and semi-arid region in China. The net primary productivity (NPP) was first estimated with the C-fix model, then WUE during 2001–2010 was calculated with the NPP and evapotranspiration (ET) data, and the accumulative WUE was further calculated. The results showed that the annual NPP and WUE in the study area ranged from zero to 448.70 gC/(m2 a) and from zero to 2.20 gC kg−1 H2O, respectively, both of which showed an overall increasing trend during 2001–2010. Besides, the spatial pattern of WUE kept overall unchanged during 2001–2010, but with remarkable change in some part of the study area. In addition, the accumulative WUE of the whole study area showed a first sharply decreasing and then gradually increasing trend, but there was still some scope to improve the WUE, and it is necessary to carry out some more specific policies to further improve the water allocation and WUE within the Lower Heihe River Basin. Although with some uncertainties, these results still can provide valuable reference information for improving the water resource management and ecological conservation to guarantee provision of essential ecosystem services in arid and semi-arid regions. 相似文献